Modest Gain In Winter Wheat Harvest
WASHINGTON - Jun 12/24 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.29 billion bushels, up 1% from the May 1 forecast and up 4% from 2023, according to the latest USDA Production estimates.
As of June 1, the United States yield is forecast at 51.4 bushels per acre, up 0.7 bushel from last month and up 0.8 bushel from last year's average yield of 50.6 bushels per acre.
Hard Red Winter production, at 726 million bushels, is up 3% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 342 million bushels, is down less than 1% from the May forecast. White Winter, at 226 million bushels, is down 1% from last month. Of the White Winter production, 17.8 million bushels are Hard White and 209 million bushels are Soft White.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the six Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are below last year's final head count in Colorado, Oklahoma, and Texas, but are above last year's in Kansas, Montana, and Nebraska. As of June 2, the winter wheat crop in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas was rated in good to excellent condition at 34%, 56%, and 36%, respectively. In Texas, winter wheat harvest was 33% complete, 6 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average pace.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the three Soft Red Winter States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio) are all above last year's final head count. As of June 2, the winter wheat crop in Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio was rated in good to excellent condition at 73%, 68%, and 71%, respectively.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in Washington are above last year's final head count. As of June 2, the winter wheat crop in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington was rated in good to excellent condition at 68%, 54%, and 48%, respectively.
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2023 and
Forecasted June 1, 2024
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production
:------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : : : : 2024 : :
: 2023 : 2024 : 2023 :-------------------: 2023 : 2024
: : : : May 1 : June 1 : :
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 acres ------- bushels ------- --- 1,000 bushels ---
:
Arkansas .......: 165 75 57.0 50.0 50.0 9,405 3,750
California .....: 80 80 80.0 80.0 82.0 6,400 6,560
Colorado .......: 1,820 1,850 41.0 44.0 41.0 74,620 75,850
Idaho ..........: 630 690 89.0 90.0 85.0 56,070 58,650
Illinois .......: 780 680 87.0 83.0 82.0 67,860 55,760
Indiana ........: 335 240 92.0 84.0 86.0 30,820 20,640
Kansas .........: 5,750 7,050 35.0 38.0 40.0 201,250 282,000
Kentucky .......: 460 370 88.0 83.0 83.0 40,480 30,710
Maryland .......: 195 175 85.0 82.0 82.0 16,575 14,350
Michigan .......: 560 380 83.0 85.0 87.0 46,480 33,060
:
Missouri .......: 600 500 70.0 67.0 68.0 42,000 34,000
Montana ........: 1,680 1,850 51.0 47.0 51.0 85,680 94,350
Nebraska .......: 880 850 42.0 47.0 50.0 36,960 42,500
North Carolina .: 400 320 70.0 64.0 60.0 28,000 19,200
Ohio ...........: 590 450 90.0 84.0 83.0 53,100 37,350
Oklahoma .......: 2,450 2,600 28.0 37.0 38.0 68,600 98,800
Oregon .........: 725 715 56.0 68.0 70.0 40,600 50,050
Pennsylvania ...: 230 200 76.0 77.0 77.0 17,480 15,400
South Dakota ...: 700 780 47.0 52.0 54.0 32,900 42,120
Tennessee ......: 390 310 80.0 80.0 76.0 31,200 23,560
:
Texas ..........: 2,100 2,100 37.0 34.0 34.0 77,700 71,400
Virginia .......: 135 100 78.0 71.0 70.0 10,530 7,000
Washington .....: 1,750 1,800 54.0 65.0 64.0 94,500 115,200
Wisconsin ......: 230 200 76.0 78.0 79.0 17,480 15,800
:
Other States 1/ : 1,048 833 58.3 56.2 56.2 61,058 46,825
:
United States ..: 24,683 25,198 50.6 50.7 51.4 1,247,748 1,294,885
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ For 2023, other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, Mississippi, New Jersey,
New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. For 2024, other
States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, Mississippi, New Mexico, New York, North
Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be
published in the "Small Grains 2024 Summary."
Only active subscribers can read all of this article.
If you are a subscriber, please log into the website.
If you are not a subscriber, click here to subscribe to this edition of the STAT website and to learn more about becoming a subscriber.
