USDA Lifts Winter Wheat Yield
WASHINGTON - Jul 12/24 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.34 billion bushels, up 4% from the June 1 forecast and up 7% from 2023, according to the USDA
As of July 1, the United States yield is forecast at 52.0 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushel from last month and up 1.4 bushels from last year's average yield of 50.6 bushels per acre.
Hard Red Winter production, at 763 million bushels, is up 5% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 344 million bushels, is up less than 1% from the June forecast. White Winter, at 234 million bushels, is up 4% from last month. Of the White Winter production, 19.0 million bushels are Hard White and 215 million bushels are Soft White.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the six Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are above last year's levels in Kansas, Montana, and Nebraska, but below last year's level in Colorado, Oklahoma, and Texas. As of June 30, harvest progress was ahead of normal in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas. Harvest had not yet begun in Montana as of June 30.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the three Soft Red Winter States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio) are above last year's levels in all three States. As of June 30, harvest progress was ahead of the 5-year average pace in Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in Washington are above last year. Forty-eight% of the Washington acreage was rated in good to excellent condition as of June 30.
Beginning in 2024, estimates for winter wheat were discontinued in New Jersey.
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2023 and
Forecasted July 1, 2024
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production
:------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : : : : 2024 : :
: 2023 : 2024 : 2023 :-------------------: 2023 : 2024
: : : : June 1 : July 1 : :
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 acres ------- bushels ------- --- 1,000 bushels ---
:
Arkansas .......: 165 95 57.0 50.0 50.0 9,405 4,750
California .....: 80 75 80.0 82.0 82.0 6,400 6,150
Colorado .......: 1,820 1,830 41.0 41.0 39.0 74,620 71,370
Idaho ..........: 630 690 89.0 85.0 85.0 56,070 58,650
Illinois .......: 780 700 87.0 82.0 83.0 67,860 58,100
Indiana ........: 335 250 92.0 86.0 87.0 30,820 21,750
Kansas .........: 5,750 7,150 35.0 40.0 43.0 201,250 307,450
Kentucky .......: 460 410 88.0 83.0 77.0 40,480 31,570
Maryland .......: 195 175 85.0 82.0 71.0 16,575 12,425
Michigan .......: 560 375 83.0 87.0 89.0 46,480 33,375
:
Missouri .......: 600 520 70.0 68.0 70.0 42,000 36,400
Montana ........: 1,680 1,900 51.0 51.0 48.0 85,680 91,200
Nebraska .......: 880 900 42.0 50.0 54.0 36,960 48,600
North Carolina .: 400 320 70.0 60.0 58.0 28,000 18,560
Ohio ...........: 590 460 90.0 83.0 89.0 53,100 40,940
Oklahoma .......: 2,450 2,700 28.0 38.0 39.0 68,600 105,300
Oregon .........: 725 715 56.0 70.0 71.0 40,600 50,765
Pennsylvania ...: 230 160 76.0 77.0 77.0 17,480 12,320
South Dakota ...: 700 780 47.0 54.0 57.0 32,900 44,460
Tennessee ......: 390 310 80.0 76.0 76.0 31,200 23,560
:
Texas ..........: 2,100 2,450 37.0 34.0 32.0 77,700 78,400
Virginia .......: 135 85 78.0 70.0 66.0 10,530 5,610
Washington .....: 1,750 1,790 54.0 64.0 68.0 94,500 121,720
Wisconsin ......: 230 190 76.0 79.0 79.0 17,480 15,010
:
Other States 1/ : 1,048 778 58.3 56.2 55.0 61,058 42,820
:
United States ..: 24,683 25,808 50.6 51.4 52.0 1,247,748 1,341,255
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1/ For 2023, other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, Mississippi, New Jersey,
New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. For 2024, other
States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, Mississippi, New Mexico, New York, North
Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be
published in the "Small Grains 2024 Summary."
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