STAT Communications Ag Market News

USDA Inches Wheat Yields Lower

WASHINGTON - Aug 12/24 - SNS -- All wheat production for grain is forecast at 1.98 billion bushels, down 1% from the previous forecast but up 9% from 2023, according to the latest USDA crop production report.

Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 52.2 bushels per harvested acre, up 0.4 bushel from the previous forecast and up 3.6 bushels from 2023. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 37.9 million acres, down 2% from the previous forecast but up 2% from 2023.


Wheat Production by Class - United States: 2023 and Forecasted August 1, 2024
[Wheat class estimates are based on the latest available data including both surveys and
administrative data. The previous end-of-year season class percentages are used throughout the
forecast season for States that do not have survey or administrative data available]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
         Crop        :                2023                :                2024
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     :                              1,000 bushels
                     :
Winter               :
Hard red ............:               601,017                              775,671
Soft red ............:               449,017                              342,188
Hard white ..........:                14,142                               19,258
Soft white ..........:               183,572                              223,805
                     :
Spring               :
Hard red ............:               468,068                              499,023
Hard white ..........:                 8,745                               10,336
Soft white ..........:                28,087                               34,451
Durum ...............:                59,329                               76,868
                     :
Total ............   :             1,811,977                            1,981,600
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
All Wheat Area Planted and Harvested - States and
United States: 2023-2024
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously
published. Includes area planted in preceding fall]
---------------------------------------------------------------
               :     Area planted      :    Area harvested
     State     :-----------------------------------------------
               :   2023    :   2024    :   2023    :  2024 1/
---------------------------------------------------------------
               :                  1,000 acres
               :
Alabama .......:     205         110         145          70
Arizona .......:      38          60          37          59
Arkansas ......:     230         130         165          90
California ....:     338         305          97          98
Colorado ......:   2,300       2,100       1,820       1,830
Delaware ......:      80          70          69          48
Georgia .......:     195         145          85          70
Idaho .........:   1,170       1,220       1,035       1,140
Illinois ......:     840         770         780         700
Indiana .......:     405         320         335         250
               :
Kansas ........:   8,100       7,700       5,750       7,150
Kentucky ......:     610         560         460         410
Maryland ......:     340         325         195         175
Michigan ......:     600         410         560         365
Minnesota .....:   1,300       1,220       1,260       1,180
Mississippi ...:     120          70          95          40
Missouri ......:     780         670         600         510
Montana .......:   5,255       5,280       5,025       5,080
Nebraska ......:   1,130       1,000         880         900
New Jersey 2/ .:      34        (NA)          32        (NA)
               :
New Mexico ....:     405         380          85          95
New York ......:     150         135         120         100
North Carolina :     480         410         400         320
North Dakota ..:   6,610       6,640       6,530       6,455
Ohio ..........:     650         530         590         460
Oklahoma ......:   4,550       4,350       2,450       2,700
Oregon ........:     740         740         725         725
Pennsylvania ..:     280         240         230         160
South Carolina :     110          85          95          75
South Dakota ..:   1,660       1,540       1,350       1,400
               :
Tennessee .....:     470         380         390         310
Texas .........:   6,400       5,400       2,100       2,250
Utah ..........:     105         105          87          90
Virginia ......:     200         150         135          85
Washington ....:   2,300       2,345       2,240       2,280
Wisconsin .....:     280         265         230         190
Wyoming .......:     115         110          90          80
               :
United States .:  49,575      46,270      37,272      37,940
---------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Forecasted.
2/   Estimates discontinued in 2024.

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