Winter Wheat Up 9% From 2023
WASHINGTON - Aug 12/24 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.36 billion bushels, up 1% from the July 1 forecast and up 9% from 2023, according to the latest USDA crop production report.
As of August 1, the United States yield is forecast at 53.2 bushels per acre, up 1.2 bushels from last month and up 2.6 bushels from last year's average yield of 50.6 bushels per acre. Area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 25.6 million acres, down 1% from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2024, but up 4% from 2023.
Hard Red Winter production, at 776 million bushels, is up 2% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 342 million bushels, is down less than 1% from the July forecast. White Winter, at 243 million bushels, is up 4% from last month. Of the White Winter production, 19.3 million bushels are Hard White and 224 million bushels are Soft White.
Acreage updates were made based on a thorough review of all available data. Total planted area, at 33.5 million acres, is down 1% from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2024, and down 9% from 2023. Area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 25.6 million acres, down 1% from the Acreage report but up 4% from last year in comparable States.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the six Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are above last year's levels in Kansas, Montana, and Nebraska, but below last year's level in Colorado, Oklahoma, and Texas. As of August 4, harvest progress was 51% complete in Montana, 13 percentage points ahead of the 5-year pace. In South Dakota, 86% of the acreage was harvested, 6 percentage points ahead of the 5-year pace. Harvest progress was complete or nearly complete in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the three Soft Red Winter States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio) are above last year's levels in all three States. As of August 4, harvest progress in Michigan was at 96%, 10 percentage points ahead of the 5-year pace. Harvest progress in the Soft Red Winter (SRW) growing area was complete in Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in Washington are above last year. As of August 4, harvest progress was at 26% in Idaho, 75% in Oregon, and 47% in Washington.
Beginning in 2024, estimates for winter wheat were discontinued in New Jersey.
Winter Wheat Area Planted and Harvested - States and
United States: 2023-2024
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously
published. Includes area planted in preceding fall]
---------------------------------------------------------------
: Area planted : Area harvested
State :-----------------------------------------------
: 2023 : 2024 : 2023 : 2024 1/
---------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 acres
:
Alabama .......: 205 110 145 70
Arkansas ......: 230 130 165 90
California ....: 320 280 80 75
Colorado ......: 2,300 2,100 1,820 1,830
Delaware ......: 80 70 69 48
Georgia .......: 195 145 85 70
Idaho .........: 750 760 630 700
Illinois ......: 840 770 780 700
Indiana .......: 405 320 335 250
Kansas ........: 8,100 7,700 5,750 7,150
:
Kentucky ......: 610 560 460 410
Maryland ......: 340 325 195 175
Michigan ......: 600 410 560 365
Mississippi ...: 120 70 95 40
Missouri ......: 780 670 600 510
Montana .......: 1,850 1,950 1,680 1,900
Nebraska ......: 1,130 1,000 880 900
New Jersey 2/ .: 34 (NA) 32 (NA)
New Mexico ....: 405 380 85 95
New York ......: 150 135 120 100
:
North Carolina : 480 410 400 320
North Dakota ..: 155 120 145 110
Ohio ..........: 650 530 590 460
Oklahoma ......: 4,550 4,350 2,450 2,700
Oregon ........: 740 740 725 725
Pennsylvania ..: 280 240 230 160
South Carolina : 110 85 95 75
South Dakota ..: 920 860 700 770
Tennessee .....: 470 380 390 310
Texas .........: 6,400 5,400 2,100 2,250
:
Utah ..........: 105 105 87 90
Virginia ......: 200 150 135 85
Washington ....: 1,800 1,850 1,750 1,790
Wisconsin .....: 280 265 230 190
Wyoming .......: 115 110 90 80
:
United States .: 36,699 33,480 24,683 25,593
---------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/ Forecasted.
2/ Estimates discontinued in 2024.
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2023 and
Forecasted August 1, 2024
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production
:------------------------------------------------------------------------
State : : : : 2024 : :
: 2023 : 2024 : 2023 :-------------------: 2023 : 2024
: : : : July 1 :August 1 : :
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 acres ------- bushels ------- --- 1,000 bushels ---
:
Arkansas .......: 165 90 57.0 50.0 50.0 9,405 4,500
California .....: 80 75 80.0 82.0 82.0 6,400 6,150
Colorado .......: 1,820 1,830 41.0 39.0 39.0 74,620 71,370
Idaho ..........: 630 700 89.0 85.0 85.0 56,070 59,500
Illinois .......: 780 700 87.0 83.0 83.0 67,860 58,100
Indiana ........: 335 250 92.0 87.0 88.0 30,820 22,000
Kansas .........: 5,750 7,150 35.0 43.0 44.0 201,250 314,600
Kentucky .......: 460 410 88.0 77.0 78.0 40,480 31,980
Maryland .......: 195 175 85.0 71.0 73.0 16,575 12,775
Michigan .......: 560 365 83.0 89.0 89.0 46,480 32,485
:
Missouri .......: 600 510 70.0 70.0 69.0 42,000 35,190
Montana ........: 1,680 1,900 51.0 48.0 51.0 85,680 96,900
Nebraska .......: 880 900 42.0 54.0 54.0 36,960 48,600
North Carolina .: 400 320 70.0 58.0 58.0 28,000 18,560
Ohio ...........: 590 460 90.0 89.0 89.0 53,100 40,940
Oklahoma .......: 2,450 2,700 28.0 39.0 39.0 68,600 105,300
Oregon .........: 725 725 56.0 71.0 77.0 40,600 55,825
Pennsylvania ...: 230 160 76.0 77.0 73.0 17,480 11,680
South Dakota ...: 700 770 47.0 57.0 62.0 32,900 47,740
Tennessee ......: 390 310 80.0 76.0 76.0 31,200 23,560
:
Texas ..........: 2,100 2,250 37.0 32.0 33.0 77,700 74,250
Virginia .......: 135 85 78.0 66.0 69.0 10,530 5,865
Washington .....: 1,750 1,790 54.0 68.0 70.0 94,500 125,300
Wisconsin ......: 230 190 76.0 79.0 80.0 17,480 15,200
:
Other States 1/ : 1,048 778 58.3 55.0 54.7 61,058 42,552
:
United States ..: 24,683 25,593 50.6 52.0 53.2 1,247,748 1,360,922
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ For 2023, other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, Mississippi, New Jersey,
New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. For 2024, other
States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, Mississippi, New Mexico, New York, North
Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be
published in the "Small Grains 2024 Summary."
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