U.S. Cotton Yields Under Pressure
WASHINGTON - Oct 11/24 -SNS -- All cotton production is forecast at 14.2 million 480-pound bales, down 2% from the previous forecast but up 18% from 2023, according to the USDA.
Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 789 pounds per harvested acre, down 18 pounds from the previous forecast and down 110 pounds from 2023.
However, the USDA noted that Hurricane Helene made landfall as a Category 4 storm on September 26, near the Panhandle and Big Bend areas of Florida and tracked through Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina. The extent of damage to the cotton crop after Hurricane Helene is not yet known as power outages, communication challenges, and road blockages prevented a full evaluation in many areas.
Upland cotton production is forecast at 13.7 million 480-pound bales, down 2% from the previous forecast but up 16% from 2023.
Pima cotton production is forecast at 516,000 bales, down 6% from the previous forecast but up 63% from 2023.
All cotton area harvested is forecast at 8.63 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 34% from 2023.
Ginnings totaled 1,145,600 running bales prior to October 1, up from 952,650 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.
Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2023 and
Forecasted October 1, 2024
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: Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production 1/
:--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Type and State : : : : 2024 : :
: 2023 : 2024 : 2023 :-----------------------: 2023 : 2024
: : : :September 1: October 1 : :
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: -- 1,000 acres -- ---------- pounds ---------- 1,000 bales 2/
:
Upland :
Alabama .........: 374.0 395.0 937 869 851 730.0 700.0
Arizona .........: 75.0 95.0 1,331 1,314 1,516 208.0 300.0
Arkansas ........: 505.0 640.0 1,295 1,238 1,200 1,362.0 1,600.0
California ......: 12.8 21.6 2,025 2,000 2,000 54.0 90.0
Florida .........: 87.0 84.0 612 657 629 111.0 110.0
Georgia .........: 1,100.0 1,090.0 949 903 727 2,175.0 1,650.0
Kansas ..........: 94.0 120.0 761 720 760 149.0 190.0
Louisiana .......: 115.0 150.0 872 1,056 960 209.0 300.0
Mississippi .....: 395.0 515.0 1,083 1,118 1,118 891.0 1,200.0
Missouri ........: 330.0 380.0 1,361 1,238 1,238 936.0 980.0
:
New Mexico ......: 17.0 27.0 649 889 711 23.0 40.0
North Carolina ..: 370.0 400.0 933 906 840 719.0 700.0
Oklahoma ........: 180.0 315.0 560 533 442 210.0 290.0
South Carolina ..: 207.0 220.0 937 829 818 404.0 375.0
Tennessee .......: 260.0 250.0 1,250 1,114 1,094 677.0 570.0
Texas ...........: 2,100.0 3,650.0 618 539 579 2,705.0 4,400.0
Virginia ........: 80.0 90.0 1,122 960 1,013 187.0 190.0
:
United States ...: 6,301.8 8,442.6 895 794 778 11,750.0 13,685.0
:
American Pima :
Arizona .........: 16.0 14.0 900 891 891 30.0 26.0
California ......: 82.0 135.0 1,346 1,582 1,511 230.0 425.0
New Mexico ......: 16.8 14.0 800 686 686 28.0 20.0
Texas ...........: 23.0 29.0 584 927 745 28.0 45.0
:
United States ...: 137.8 192.0 1,101 1,368 1,290 316.0 516.0
:
All :
Alabama .........: 374.0 395.0 937 869 851 730.0 700.0
Arizona .........: 91.0 109.0 1,255 1,259 1,436 238.0 326.0
Arkansas ........: 505.0 640.0 1,295 1,238 1,200 1,362.0 1,600.0
California ......: 94.8 156.6 1,438 1,640 1,579 284.0 515.0
Florida .........: 87.0 84.0 612 657 629 111.0 110.0
Georgia .........: 1,100.0 1,090.0 949 903 727 2,175.0 1,650.0
Kansas ..........: 94.0 120.0 761 720 760 149.0 190.0
Louisiana .......: 115.0 150.0 872 1,056 960 209.0 300.0
Mississippi .....: 395.0 515.0 1,083 1,118 1,118 891.0 1,200.0
Missouri ........: 330.0 380.0 1,361 1,238 1,238 936.0 980.0
:
New Mexico ......: 33.8 41.0 724 820 702 51.0 60.0
North Carolina ..: 370.0 400.0 933 906 840 719.0 700.0
Oklahoma ........: 180.0 315.0 560 533 442 210.0 290.0
South Carolina ..: 207.0 220.0 937 829 818 404.0 375.0
Tennessee .......: 260.0 250.0 1,250 1,114 1,094 677.0 570.0
Texas ...........: 2,123.0 3,679.0 618 542 580 2,733.0 4,445.0
Virginia ........: 80.0 90.0 1,122 960 1,013 187.0 190.0
:
United States ...: 6,439.6 8,634.6 899 807 789 12,066.0 14,201.0
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1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
Cottonseed Production - United States: 2023 and Forecasted October 1, 2024
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Production
State :-----------------------------------------------------------
: 2023 : 2024 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 tons
:
United States ...: 3,644.0 4,341.0
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1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
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