STAT Communications Ag Market News

Further Drop In Average Orange Yields

WASHINGTON - Dec 10/25 - SNS -- The United States all orange forecast for the 2024-2025 season is 2.48 million tons, down 5% from the previous forecast and down 10% from the 2023-2024 final utilization, according to the USDA.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 12.0 million boxes (540,000 tons), is down 20% from the previous forecast and down 33% from last season's final utilization.

In Florida, early, midseason, and Navel varieties are forecast at 5.00 million boxes (225,000 tons), down 17% from the previous forecast and down 26% from last season's final utilization.

The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 7.00 million boxes (315,000 tons), is down 22% from the previous forecast and down 38% from last season's final utilization.

California and Texas orange production forecasts were carried forward from the previous forecast.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2023-2024 and
Forecasted December 1, 2024
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of
harvest the following year.]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :   Utilized production boxes 1/    :Utilized production ton equivalent
       Crop and State       :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :    2023-2024    :    2024-2025    :    2023-2024    :    2024-2025
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :     ------ 1,000 boxes -----             ------ 1,000 tons -----
Oranges                     :
California, all 2/ .........:     47,500            47,700             1,900             1,908
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ..:     38,200            39,000             1,528             1,560
 Valencia ..................:      9,300             8,700               372               348
                            :
Florida, all ...............:     17,960            12,000               808               540
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ..:      6,760             5,000               304               225
 Valencia ..................:     11,200             7,000               504               315
                            :
Texas, all 2/ ..............:      1,180               850                50                36
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ..:        690               400                29                17
 Valencia ..................:        490               450                21                19
                            :
United States, all .........:     66,640            60,550             2,758             2,484
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ..:     45,650            44,400             1,861             1,802
 Valencia ..................:     20,990            16,150               897               682
                            :
Grapefruit                  :
California 2/ ..............:      4,300             4,200               172               168
Florida ....................:      1,790             1,200                76                51
Texas 2/ ...................:      2,400             1,900                96                76
                            :
United States ..............:      8,490             7,300               344               295
                            :
Tangerines and mandarins 4/ :
California 2/ ..............:     27,400            25,000             1,096             1,000
Florida ....................:        450               350                21                17
                            :
United States ..............:     27,850            25,350             1,117             1,017
                            :
Lemons 2/                   :
Arizona ....................:        950               900                38                36
California .................:     24,600            26,000               984             1,040
Florida 5/ .................:       (NA)               500              (NA)                23
                            :
United States ..............:     25,550            27,400             1,022             1,099
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in
     California-80, Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95;
     lemons-80.
2/   Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
3/   Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason
     varieties in Florida and Texas.
4/   Includes tangelos and tangors.
5/   Estimates began with the 2024-2025 crop year.

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